china and digital currency, Overview

The Dow Jones Industrial Average broke through the 44,000.00 mark, and the latest report was 43,999.94, down 0.34% in the day.The Brazilian central bank raised its benchmark interest rate to 12.25% for the third time this year. On the 11th, local time, the Monetary Policy Committee of the Brazilian central bank announced that it had decided to raise its benchmark interest rate to 12.25%, which is the third time that the Brazilian central bank raised interest rates this year. Brazil's central bank said that the interest rate hike was affected by international uncertainties and Brazil's domestic economic policies, and it is expected that the benchmark interest rate will be raised again in January and March next year. Since August last year, the Brazilian central bank cut interest rates seven times in a row, stopped cutting interest rates in June this year, and then raised the benchmark interest rate three times in a row. After this adjustment, Brazil's benchmark interest rate at the end of 2024 was the same as that at the end of 2023, which was 12.25%. The latest "Focus" bulletin of the Brazilian central bank raised the expected inflation rate to 4.84% in 2024, which is higher than the upper limit of the country's inflation rate management target of 4.5% from 2024 to 2026.The previous crude oil futures 2401 contract closed up 1.51% at 545.40 yuan/barrel. Shanghai Gold closed down 0.59% and Shanghai Bank closed down 1.67%.

Spot gold fell below $2,680 per ounce, down 1.38% in the day. COMEX gold futures fell 2.00% in the day and are now reported at $2701.50 per ounce.CITIC Securities: It is estimated that the reverse repo rate will drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more. CITIC Securities Research Report believes that the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing. On the whole, the policy level is fully aware of the grim situation that external pressure may increase significantly within next year, and has put forward a series of requirements such as stable growth, stable prices, stable employment and stable people's livelihood. From the perspective of fiscal policy, the amount of financial instruments supporting the real economy will be comprehensively increased, the government's disposable financial resources will be significantly improved, and the fiscal expenditure structure will be tilted to the marginal consumption of people's livelihood. From the perspective of monetary policy, the meeting called for the implementation of a moderately loose monetary policy, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates. We expect the reverse repo rate to drop by 40-50bps next year, and the LPR and loan interest rates may drop even more.Intel executives: Over time, we may sell some of our positions in Mobileye.

Fitch: The possible trade policy changes after the results of the 2024 election in the United States will bring risks in 2025 and may reduce the demand for shipping companies.Intel executives: TSMC is the benchmark expected by the industry.Intel executives: I hope to cut $1 billion from "other sales costs".